Those who would vote ‘Remain’ again in a rerun of the 2016 referendum would not necessarily vote to ‘Rejoin’ the European Union today, according to recent anaylsis by polling expert John Curtice.
It marks an important shift in the nation’s acceptance of life after Brexit, with one in eight Remainers not in support of rejoining the bloc.
In his recent commentary on the What UK Thinks website, Mr Curtice concludes: “A consistent body of evidence is emerging that some Remain supporters would not vote in favour of reversing Brexit even though they would still prefer Britain to be part of the EU. To that extent there is an apparent acceptance on their part that Brexit is done and dusted.”
Although recent polling on whether individuals would vote ‘Remain’ or ‘Leave’ in a rerun of the Brexit referendum shows a leaning towards Remain, the question itself “is of little relevance”, Curtice suggests.
“This does not necessarily mean that they would now seek to overturn the Brexit decision by backing any attempt to re-join the EU.”
And analysis of the polling appears to shed some truth on the theory that Remainers aren’t necessarily Rejoiners.
Curtice offers a recent YouGov poll as an example where 89% of Remain voters said they would vote Remain again, but only 76% of those said that they would vote in favour of joining the EU – an important distinction.
The pro-EU Lib Dems appear to have accepted the appetite is not currently there among the electorate for a Rejoin party. Its leader Ed Davey told the Andrew Marr Show last month that although the party remains “very pro-European… We are not a rejoin party.”
A wise policy decision, perhaps…